Australia Second Division Victory Round 5

Avondale Heights vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis

Avondale Heights FC Melbourne Knights
41 ELO 25
-3.1% Tilt -4.2%
2177º General ELO ranking 6828º
13º Country ELO ranking 75º
ELO win probability
77.1%
Avondale Heights
14.5%
Draw
8.4%
FC Melbourne Knights

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
Avondale Heights
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.4%
Win probability
FC Melbourne Knights
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Avondale Heights
+21%
-75%
FC Melbourne Knights

ELO progression

Avondale Heights
FC Melbourne Knights
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Avondale Heights
Avondale Heights
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 2020
DAC
Dandenong City
0 - 3
Avondale Heights
AVH
26%
21%
52%
40 31 9 0
28 Feb. 2020
GRE
Green Gully Cavaliers
0 - 2
Avondale Heights
AVH
34%
23%
43%
39 31 8 +1
22 Feb. 2020
ALM
Altona Magic
0 - 2
Avondale Heights
AVH
17%
19%
65%
37 24 13 +2
13 Feb. 2020
OAK
Oakleigh Cannons
3 - 1
Avondale Heights
AVH
50%
22%
28%
36 35 1 +1
15 Sep. 2019
AVH
Avondale Heights
1 - 1
Bentleigh Greens
BEN
65%
19%
16%
37 29 8 -1

Matches

FC Melbourne Knights
FC Melbourne Knights
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 2020
MEL
FC Melbourne Knights
2 - 4
Hume City FC
HUM
42%
24%
34%
27 34 7 0
01 Mar. 2020
2 - 0
FC Melbourne Knights
MEL
52%
21%
27%
28 29 1 -1
21 Feb. 2020
MEL
FC Melbourne Knights
3 - 3
Dandenong Thunder SC
DAN
58%
20%
22%
27 25 2 +1
14 Feb. 2020
POR
Port Melbourne Sharks
1 - 1
FC Melbourne Knights
MEL
50%
23%
27%
26 26 0 +1
29 Jan. 2020
MEL
FC Melbourne Knights
4 - 1
Heidelberg Utd
HEU
25%
22%
53%
25 36 11 +1