Avion vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
34%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
COM
1 - 1
AVI
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
FEI
1 - 4
AVI
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +3 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
AVI
3 - 0
BEA
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 0
VAL
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 1
AVI
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
LEN
2 - 0
DRA
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
DRA
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
DRA
4 - 1
LIL
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
RAO
3 - 3
DRA
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
DRA
1 - 3
UJA
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |