Avion vs Compiègne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 2
VAL
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ALF
2 - 2
AVI
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 1
DRA
33%
28%
40%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AAC
1 - 0
AVI
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
LEN
0 - 1
AVI
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
COM
0 - 1
IVR
34%
28%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 0
COM
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
AUB
1 - 1
COM
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
COM
2 - 0
CAB
26%
27%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PSG
1 - 0
COM
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |