Aviación vs Goya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
78%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aviación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LAM
4 - 3
AVC
69%
17%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AVC
0 - 5
GIG
16%
19%
65%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
RVI
5 - 0
AVC
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AVC
1 - 2
LMA
9%
14%
77%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GSC
4 - 0
AVC
83%
12%
6%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Goya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CDG
4 - 0
ADA
82%
12%
7%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
IVA
4 - 4
CDG
27%
22%
52%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CDG
4 - 1
ALZ
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ENO
1 - 3
CDG
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CDG
8 - 0
LCB
82%
11%
6%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |