Aveley vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 3
AVE
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
AVE
1 - 2
HEN
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
ASH
2 - 2
AVE
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
TON
3 - 2
AVE
55%
22%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
AVE
4 - 2
CAN
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 2
HOR
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2009 |
HEN
1 - 1
HOR
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
HOR
4 - 2
HAS
40%
26%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2009 |
TOO
0 - 2
HOR
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
HOR
4 - 0
CRA
44%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |