Non League Div One Southern-East Round 21

Aveley vs Dartford analysis

Aveley Dartford
30 ELO 37
-6.4% Tilt 6.9%
7521º General ELO ranking 5443º
298º Country ELO ranking 175º
ELO win probability
38.3%
Aveley
25.5%
Draw
36.2%
Dartford

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
Aveley
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.2%
Win probability
Dartford
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aveley
-52%
+54%
Dartford

ELO progression

Aveley
Dartford
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aveley
Aveley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2005
ROT
Rothwell Town
0 - 0
Aveley
AVE
46%
23%
30%
31 31 0 0
10 Dec. 2005
AVE
Aveley
1 - 0
Barton Rovers
BAR
29%
24%
48%
30 38 8 +1
03 Dec. 2005
ENF
Enfield FC
1 - 2
Aveley
AVE
53%
22%
25%
29 32 3 +1
26 Nov. 2005
ARL
Arlesey Town
1 - 0
Aveley
AVE
57%
22%
22%
29 36 7 0
19 Nov. 2005
AVE
Aveley
2 - 2
Sittingbourne
SIT
50%
24%
27%
29 27 2 0

Matches

Dartford
Dartford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2005
DAR
Dartford
2 - 1
Wingate & Finchley
WIN
59%
21%
20%
36 34 2 0
10 Dec. 2005
DAR
Dartford
4 - 2
Enfield FC
ENF
62%
20%
18%
35 31 4 +1
03 Dec. 2005
HAR
Harlow Town
1 - 1
Dartford
DAR
39%
25%
36%
35 30 5 0
22 Nov. 2005
WIV
Wivenhoe Town FC
1 - 1
Dartford
DAR
54%
23%
23%
35 37 2 0
19 Nov. 2005
GRE
Great Wakering Rovers
0 - 1
Dartford
DAR
39%
25%
37%
34 28 6 +1