Aveley vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
STO
2 - 1
AVE
29%
22%
49%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
AVE
4 - 2
WHI
88%
9%
4%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
AVE
5 - 0
FEL
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CTF
4 - 2
AVE
16%
21%
63%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AVE
3 - 1
BAS
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
YEL
1 - 0
BAR
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
HTG
3 - 2
YEL
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
HUL
1 - 1
YEL
9%
16%
76%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
YEL
4 - 2
TIL
61%
19%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
HEY
0 - 5
YEL
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |