Aveley vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 1
NEE
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 2
WAL
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HYT
2 - 1
AVE
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
AVE
5 - 0
BAR
80%
12%
7%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
THU
2 - 1
AVE
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
YEL
2 - 1
WAR
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
YEL
5 - 0
CRA
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NEE
2 - 1
YEL
52%
23%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
YEL
2 - 0
WOR
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 2
YEL
32%
24%
44%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |