Avarta vs Holbæk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
4º
3º
32
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 21 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 15 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
61% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
60.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
39.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
AVA
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 0
ODD
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 2
AVA
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AVA
3 - 0
RIN
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 0
AVA
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Holbæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
HOL
1 - 2
VEJ
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 0
BRØ
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 5
HOL
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 2
ODD
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
BOL
4 - 1
HOL
12%
15%
73%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |