Avarta vs Allerød analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
2º
1º
24
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 1
AVA
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 2
HER
71%
17%
13%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
VB1
1 - 2
AVA
19%
20%
61%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 0
SKJ
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
LED
0 - 1
AVA
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Allerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ALL
5 - 1
KFU
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 3
SBO
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
0 - 3
FA2
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 0
ALL
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ALL
2 - 4
HER
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |