Avanti vs Merelbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
47.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avanti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JON
4 - 0
AVA
55%
22%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RCL
3 - 0
AVA
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 1
WIK
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
STA
1 - 0
AVA
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
WIK
2 - 0
AVA
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Merelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
RCL
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
WIK
1 - 3
MER
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MER
5 - 2
DRO
75%
14%
11%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
COX
1 - 0
MER
86%
10%
5%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MER
5 - 0
LAC
18%
19%
63%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +7 |