Avangard Kursk vs FK Serpukhov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
14%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2009 |
AVA
4 - 0
APO
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
FAK
2 - 0
AVA
40%
27%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
LOK
1 - 2
AVA
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2009 |
DNE
0 - 1
AVA
23%
27%
50%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
DIN
1 - 0
AVA
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Serpukhov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2009 |
FKG
2 - 0
FKS
61%
23%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
FKS
3 - 2
DNE
52%
25%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
FKS
1 - 2
DIN
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
MET
0 - 0
FKS
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
FAK
2 - 1
FKS
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |