Avaí vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
NAU
3 - 1
AVA
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 1
OES
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 0
AVA
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
AVA
2 - 1
VAS
18%
26%
56%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
AVA
3 - 1
VIL
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
LON
1 - 1
SAM
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 2
LON
55%
26%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
PAY
0 - 0
LON
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
LON
2 - 2
CRI
32%
30%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
LON
1 - 0
BRA
42%
29%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |