Avaí vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 0
AVA
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
AVA
0 - 1
SAN
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
AVA
3 - 2
COR
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 3
AVA
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
GUA
4 - 1
AVA
20%
25%
55%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
SCI
1 - 1
ATL
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
SCI
3 - 2
CHI
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
FLU
3 - 0
SCI
46%
25%
30%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 2
SCI
29%
24%
47%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 1
SCI
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |