Avaí vs Hermann Aichinger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
AVA
1 - 0
MET
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
HER
3 - 1
AVA
16%
22%
62%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AVA
5 - 1
JEC
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
FFL
2 - 2
AVA
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2010 |
AVA
4 - 2
IMB
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 39 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 1
HER
26%
23%
51%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
HER
3 - 1
AVA
16%
22%
62%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MET
4 - 1
HER
35%
25%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
BRU
0 - 2
HER
43%
24%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
HER
0 - 1
JEC
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |