Avaí vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
46.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CRB
2 - 0
AVA
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
NAU
4 - 1
AVA
58%
22%
19%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
AVA
3 - 2
ARN
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
POR
0 - 0
AVA
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2006 |
AVA
2 - 0
ITU
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
COT
2 - 1
GAM
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
ATM
2 - 1
COT
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
COT
1 - 0
PAY
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
COT
5 - 1
ARN
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 2
COT
37%
27%
37%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |