Avaí vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
MET
1 - 2
AVA
15%
21%
64%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
AVA
5 - 0
HER
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
COT
0 - 1
AVA
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
JEC
3 - 2
AVA
21%
23%
56%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
AVA
1 - 1
FFL
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
BRU
3 - 0
IMB
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MET
0 - 2
BRU
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
BRU
2 - 0
CRI
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
HER
0 - 0
BRU
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BRU
2 - 2
CHA
38%
24%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |