Avaí vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
COT
2 - 0
AVA
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
AVA
52%
27%
22%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 1
CHA
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
BRU
0 - 1
AVA
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 0
BRU
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
ATP
1 - 0
AMF
56%
26%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
ATP
4 - 0
AUC
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
ATP
14%
24%
63%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
ATP
1 - 0
MEL
64%
22%
15%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ATP
1 - 2
LON
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |