Liga Brasileña Sub 23 Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Avai U23 vs Gremio U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avai U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 1
FOR
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
RBB
1 - 4
AVA
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 0
ECB
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
ECB
2 - 0
AVA
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
AVA
3 - 1
RBB
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Gremio U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
FFC
0 - 4
GRE
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
CEA
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
COR
2 - 2
GRE
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
COR
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
CEA
2 - 0
GRE
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |