Auxerre vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
TRO
3 - 1
AUX
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
CLE
1 - 0
AUX
51%
25%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
AUX
1 - 0
TRO
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
AUX
4 - 1
CHA
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
AUX
42%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
TFC
3 - 2
CLE
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
SOC
0 - 1
TFC
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
TFC
1 - 0
NIO
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
TFC
2 - 0
GRE
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 2
TFC
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |