Ligue 1 Round 27

Auxerre vs Stade Rennais analysis

Auxerre Stade Rennais
73 ELO 87
-0.7% Tilt 12.2%
150º General ELO ranking 47º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
17.7%
Auxerre
22.6%
Draw
59.6%
Stade Rennais

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
Auxerre
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.6%
Win probability
Stade Rennais
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Auxerre
+7%
-5%
Stade Rennais

Points and table prediction

Auxerre
Their league position
Stade Rennais
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
19º
17º
68
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSG
85
85
100%
Lens
84
84
100%
Olympique Marseille
73
73
100%
Stade Rennais
68
68
100%
Lille
67
67
100%
Monaco
65
65
100%
Olympique Lyonnais
62
62
100%
Clermont
59
59
100%
Nice
58
58
100%
Lorient
10º
55
55
10º
100%
Stade de Reims
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Montpellier
12º
50
50
12º
100%
Toulouse
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Stade Brestois
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Strasbourg
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Nantes
16º
36
36
16º
100%
Auxerre
17º
35
35
17º
100%
Ajaccio
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Troyes
19º
24
24
19º
100%
Angers SCO
20º
18
18
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Auxerre
Stade Rennais
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Auxerre
Stade Rennais
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Auxerre
Auxerre
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2023
NIC
Nice
1 - 1
Auxerre
AUX
67%
20%
13%
73 85 12 0
26 Feb. 2023
LOR
Lorient
0 - 1
Auxerre
AUX
48%
25%
27%
73 78 5 0
17 Feb. 2023
AUX
Auxerre
2 - 1
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
13%
19%
68%
72 88 16 +1
12 Feb. 2023
ANG
Angers SCO
1 - 1
Auxerre
AUX
40%
26%
34%
72 72 0 0
08 Feb. 2023
AUX
Auxerre
2 - 3
Rodez
ROD
65%
21%
14%
73 64 9 -1

Matches

Stade Rennais
Stade Rennais
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2023
REN
Stade Rennais
0 - 1
Olympique Marseille
MAR
42%
25%
33%
87 88 1 0
26 Feb. 2023
NAN
Nantes
0 - 1
Stade Rennais
REN
22%
24%
54%
87 81 6 0
23 Feb. 2023
REN
Stade Rennais
2 - 1
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
55%
22%
23%
87 84 3 0
19 Feb. 2023
REN
Stade Rennais
2 - 0
Clermont
CLE
71%
18%
11%
87 76 11 0
16 Feb. 2023
SHA
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 - 1
Stade Rennais
REN
34%
24%
42%
88 84 4 -1