Auxerre vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
CAE
2 - 3
AUX
27%
27%
46%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
VER
0 - 6
AUX
6%
16%
78%
|
88 | 10 | 78 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
AUX
0 - 1
STR
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
MAR
3 - 0
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1996 |
MAR
3 - 2
AUX
44%
28%
28%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
ASN
2 - 3
MET
27%
29%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
SOC
3 - 1
ASN
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
LHA
1 - 3
ASN
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
ASN
2 - 3
LYO
25%
28%
47%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
CAN
1 - 0
ASN
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |