Ligue 1 . Jor. 34

Auxerre vs Montpellier analysis

Auxerre Montpellier
83 ELO 80
-17.6% Tilt -11.6%
479º General ELO ranking 370º
14º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
48.7%
Auxerre
26.7%
Draw
24.6%
Montpellier

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
Auxerre
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.6%
Win probability
Montpellier
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Auxerre
+11%
+4%
Montpellier

ELO progression

Auxerre
Montpellier
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Auxerre
Auxerre
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2011
MAR
Olympique Marseille
1 - 1
Auxerre
AUX
72%
18%
10%
83 90 7 0
24 Apr. 2011
AUX
Auxerre
1 - 1
Lens
LEN
51%
26%
23%
83 79 4 0
16 Apr. 2011
TFC
Toulouse
0 - 1
Auxerre
AUX
36%
29%
35%
83 81 2 0
09 Apr. 2011
AUX
Auxerre
2 - 2
Saint-Étienne
ASS
47%
27%
26%
83 81 2 0
02 Apr. 2011
REN
Stade Rennais
0 - 0
Auxerre
AUX
54%
25%
22%
83 85 2 0

Matches

Montpellier
Montpellier
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2011
MPL
Montpellier
0 - 0
Stade Brestois
BRE
57%
26%
18%
80 75 5 0
27 Apr. 2011
LYO
Olympique Lyonnais
3 - 2
Montpellier
MPL
69%
20%
11%
81 89 8 -1
23 Apr. 2011
MAR
Olympique Marseille
1 - 0
Montpellier
MPL
75%
16%
9%
81 90 9 0
17 Apr. 2011
MPL
Montpellier
1 - 2
Olympique Marseille
MAR
21%
26%
53%
81 90 9 0
10 Apr. 2011
MPL
Montpellier
1 - 1
Nice
NIC
48%
27%
26%
81 80 1 0
X