Champions League Grupo G. Jor. 5

Auxerre vs Milan analysis

Auxerre Milan
85 ELO 89
-17.2% Tilt -9.5%
479º General ELO ranking 20º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
32.2%
Auxerre
28.2%
Draw
39.6%
Milan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
Auxerre
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
39.6%
Win probability
Milan
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Auxerre
+5%
-2%
Milan

ELO progression

Auxerre
Milan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Auxerre
Auxerre
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2010
ASS
Saint-Étienne
1 - 1
Auxerre
AUX
38%
28%
34%
85 81 4 0
14 Nov. 2010
AUX
Auxerre
2 - 1
Stade Rennais
REN
45%
28%
28%
85 84 1 0
09 Nov. 2010
AUX
Auxerre
2 - 0
Saint-Étienne
ASS
48%
27%
25%
85 82 3 0
06 Nov. 2010
SOC
Sochaux
1 - 1
Auxerre
AUX
33%
28%
39%
85 78 7 0
03 Nov. 2010
AUX
Auxerre
2 - 1
Ajax
AJA
24%
24%
52%
84 88 4 +1

Matches

Milan
Milan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2010
ACM
Milan
1 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
66%
21%
14%
89 84 5 0
14 Nov. 2010
INT
Inter
0 - 1
Milan
ACM
62%
22%
17%
89 92 3 0
10 Nov. 2010
ACM
Milan
3 - 1
Palermo FC
PAL
63%
21%
16%
88 83 5 +1
07 Nov. 2010
BAR
SSC Bari
2 - 3
Milan
ACM
21%
26%
53%
88 77 11 0
03 Nov. 2010
ACM
Milan
2 - 2
Real Madrid
RMA
30%
25%
45%
88 94 6 0
X