Europa League 1/32
Global 3-4
Auxerre vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1985 |
AUX
2 - 0
STR
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1985 |
BAS
0 - 0
AUX
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1985 |
AUX
3 - 2
SOC
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
REN
4 - 1
AUX
37%
28%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1985 |
AUX
0 - 1
PSG
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
ACM
1 - 0
LEC
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
BAR
0 - 1
ACM
29%
30%
41%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
UDI
1 - 0
ACM
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
ACM
3 - 1
ARZ
86%
10%
4%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
ACM
1 - 0
REG
87%
9%
4%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |