Auxerre vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
NIO
0 - 1
AUX
19%
24%
57%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
BAS
2 - 0
AUX
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1998 |
AUX
3 - 1
GIR
44%
25%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
ASN
1 - 1
AUX
27%
27%
47%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1998 |
AUX
1 - 1
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 2
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
LOR
2 - 0
PSG
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1998 |
LYO
2 - 2
LOR
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
LOR
1 - 1
LEN
24%
27%
50%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1998 |
SOC
0 - 1
LOR
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |