Ligue 1 Round 38

Auxerre vs Lille analysis

Auxerre Lille
87 ELO 87
-4.1% Tilt -12%
150º General ELO ranking 22º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.3%
Auxerre
25.3%
Draw
20.4%
Lille

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
Auxerre
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.4%
Win probability
Lille
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Auxerre
+7%
-1%
Lille

ELO progression

Auxerre
Lille
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Auxerre
Auxerre
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 2005
NIC
Nice
1 - 0
Auxerre
AUX
29%
29%
42%
88 81 7 0
14 May. 2005
AUX
Auxerre
0 - 0
Olympique Marseille
MAR
57%
24%
19%
88 86 2 0
10 May. 2005
AUX
Auxerre
2 - 1
Nîmes
NÎM
74%
18%
8%
88 70 18 0
06 May. 2005
GIR
Girondins Bordeaux
0 - 0
Auxerre
AUX
40%
28%
33%
88 85 3 0
29 Apr. 2005
AUX
Auxerre
3 - 2
Toulouse
TFC
66%
21%
13%
88 81 7 0

Matches

Lille
Lille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 May. 2005
LIL
Lille
0 - 2
Ajaccio
AJA
65%
21%
13%
87 78 9 0
14 May. 2005
NAN
Nantes
1 - 3
Lille
LIL
46%
28%
26%
87 86 1 0
07 May. 2005
LIL
Lille
1 - 0
PSG
PSG
45%
27%
27%
87 88 1 0
01 May. 2005
MON
Monaco
2 - 0
Lille
LIL
69%
19%
12%
87 91 4 0
23 Apr. 2005
STR
Strasbourg
1 - 2
Lille
LIL
43%
28%
29%
87 83 4 0