Ligue 1 Round 9

Auxerre vs Lille analysis

Auxerre Lille
87 ELO 84
-15.5% Tilt -17.2%
149º General ELO ranking 21º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
55.6%
Auxerre
25.8%
Draw
18.5%
Lille

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
Auxerre
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
18.6%
Win probability
Lille
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Auxerre
+9%
-2%
Lille

ELO progression

Auxerre
Lille
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Auxerre
Auxerre
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2003
PSG
PSG
1 - 0
Auxerre
AUX
53%
25%
22%
87 87 0 0
24 Sep. 2003
AUX
Auxerre
1 - 0
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
61%
23%
16%
87 79 8 0
20 Sep. 2003
AUX
Auxerre
4 - 1
Bastia
BAS
50%
27%
24%
86 84 2 +1
13 Sep. 2003
LYO
Olympique Lyonnais
1 - 1
Auxerre
AUX
63%
22%
16%
86 89 3 0
30 Aug. 2003
AUX
Auxerre
2 - 1
Stade Rennais
REN
51%
26%
23%
86 83 3 0

Matches

Lille
Lille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2003
LIL
Lille
1 - 1
Montpellier
MPL
48%
26%
25%
84 81 3 0
20 Sep. 2003
NIC
Nice
2 - 0
Lille
LIL
40%
30%
30%
84 80 4 0
13 Sep. 2003
LIL
Lille
1 - 1
Monaco
MON
24%
26%
50%
84 89 5 0
30 Aug. 2003
SOC
Sochaux
2 - 1
Lille
LIL
55%
25%
19%
84 85 1 0
23 Aug. 2003
LIL
Lille
1 - 1
Metz
MET
50%
27%
23%
84 82 2 0