Auxerre vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
PSG
1 - 0
AUX
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
AUX
1 - 0
NEX
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
AUX
4 - 1
BAS
50%
27%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
LYO
1 - 1
AUX
63%
22%
16%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
AUX
2 - 1
REN
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 1
MPL
48%
26%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 0
LIL
40%
30%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 1
MON
24%
26%
50%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
SOC
2 - 1
LIL
55%
25%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 1
MET
50%
27%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |