Auxerre vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
PSG
3 - 0
AUX
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
NAN
4 - 1
AUX
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
AUX
0 - 3
LYO
41%
27%
33%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
VAN
1 - 2
AUX
11%
21%
69%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
AUX
1 - 0
MON
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2001 |
LIL
2 - 2
GIR
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
TFC
0 - 2
LIL
37%
29%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
LIL
1 - 0
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
GUI
0 - 1
LIL
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
LIL
1 - 1
NAN
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |