Auxerre II vs Villefranche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
AMN
2 - 2
AUX
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
AUX
1 - 1
MOA
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
BOU
2 - 1
AUX
49%
26%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
AUX
4 - 0
CSL
80%
14%
7%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
JUR
1 - 0
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
SPI
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 1
AMN
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MOA
1 - 2
VIL
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 0
BOU
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CSL
0 - 2
VIL
15%
22%
63%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |