Autol vs San Marcial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
YAG
3 - 0
AUT
52%
21%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AUT
1 - 2
RAP
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
AUT
31%
23%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
AUT
3 - 0
REB
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AUT
4 - 1
YAG
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 3
AGO
30%
24%
47%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PRM
1 - 2
MAR
24%
20%
56%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
YAG
3 - 1
MAR
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
RAP
48%
22%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAL
87%
10%
4%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | +1 |