Autol vs Rapid de Murillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
47.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 0
AUT
22%
24%
54%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
AUT
1 - 1
BER
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
NAX
3 - 0
AUT
92%
6%
2%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AUT
2 - 2
ANG
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
HAR
6 - 0
AUT
91%
7%
2%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
RAP
2 - 4
BER
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
ANG
3 - 1
RAP
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
RAP
0 - 1
CDF
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 0
RAP
44%
23%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
RAP
2 - 0
SDL
5%
12%
83%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | +6 |