Autol vs Alfaro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1348%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
AUT
0 - 3
AGO
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 3
AUT
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AUT
1 - 0
CDS
85%
11%
4%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 9
AUT
5%
14%
81%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
AUT
2 - 1
PRA
90%
7%
3%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CDS
0 - 0
CFC
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 1
CAL
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PRA
2 - 3
CFC
16%
17%
66%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 1
REB
18%
19%
63%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
RRI
6 - 0
CFC
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |