Autol vs Agoncillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.8%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Autol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
RAP
1 - 1
AUT
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AUT
0 - 2
CAL
84%
12%
5%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BER
0 - 1
AUT
15%
21%
64%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
AUT
0 - 1
NAX
18%
21%
61%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ANG
3 - 0
AUT
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Agoncillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
AGO
72%
18%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
AGO
1 - 2
NAX
6%
14%
81%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
HAR
6 - 1
AGO
92%
6%
2%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
AGO
0 - 1
ARN
37%
23%
40%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALF
3 - 0
AGO
87%
10%
3%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |