Austria U21 vs Bulgaria U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
QAT
0 - 4
AUT
14%
19%
67%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
AUT
2 - 2
SWE
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
AUT
4 - 2
CZE
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
AUT
3 - 0
RDC
91%
7%
2%
|
70 | 6 | 64 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
ESP
1 - 1
AUT
69%
19%
11%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
BGR
1 - 0
CYP
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
WLS
3 - 1
BGR
49%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
DNK
7 - 1
BGR
73%
16%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
EST
2 - 2
BGR
20%
24%
57%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
BGR
1 - 5
SVN
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |