Austria U19 vs Gales U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
AUT
2 - 1
ALB
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
UKR
2 - 2
AUT
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
GRC
0 - 0
AUT
37%
25%
39%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
AUT
0 - 1
FRA
24%
23%
53%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
AUT
2 - 1
ITA
48%
23%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gales U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
GEO
0 - 3
WAL
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
WAL
2 - 1
ALB
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
DEN
4 - 0
WAL
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
WAL
83%
12%
6%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
WAL
3 - 0
GRC
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +2 |