Aurrera KE vs Mondragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
ILI
1 - 2
AUR
43%
29%
28%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
AUR
3 - 0
TOL
64%
23%
13%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
CDT
1 - 0
AUR
34%
30%
36%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
AUR
0 - 1
RUN
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
AUR
2 - 1
LEM
63%
23%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mondragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
MON
2 - 3
GER
62%
23%
16%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
CDU
6 - 3
MON
76%
15%
8%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
MON
1 - 0
SDA
38%
28%
34%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
BAS
3 - 0
MON
78%
15%
8%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
BKE
1 - 1
MON
52%
26%
22%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |