Aurrera KE vs SD Amorebieta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
ZAL
0 - 3
AUR
59%
24%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 1
AUR
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
AUR
0 - 2
SES
47%
27%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 0
CDU
56%
24%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 1
AUR
23%
26%
51%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SD Amorebieta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
SDA
2 - 1
SES
28%
29%
43%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
CDU
1 - 0
SDA
48%
27%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SDA
0 - 0
AUR
64%
23%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
SDA
1 - 0
EIB
38%
29%
33%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
UPV
1 - 1
SDA
35%
28%
37%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |