Aurora FC vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+100%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
AUR
4 - 0
DSA
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
MIX
0 - 0
AUR
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 1
JUP
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ZAC
3 - 1
AUR
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 1
SAC
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
MIX
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ZAC
0 - 1
CON
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 0
CON
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CON
2 - 0
CHI
55%
26%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CON
3 - 2
AGB
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |