Aurora FC vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 0
COM
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 0
AUR
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 0
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ACH
1 - 0
AUR
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ACH
0 - 0
CON
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CON
2 - 0
UNI
63%
21%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SAC
0 - 0
CON
36%
27%
36%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CON
3 - 0
MIX
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |