Aurora FC vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
49.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 1
ACH
33%
25%
41%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 0
AUR
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
AUR
56%
25%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AUR
3 - 0
QUI
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SAC
0 - 0
AUR
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
DEP
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 2
CON
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 2
CON
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CON
2 - 2
CAR
40%
28%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
QUI
3 - 3
CON
21%
24%
56%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |