Aurora FC vs Marquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
ANT
1 - 1
AUR
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 0
ZAC
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 1
JAL
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
CHI
1 - 0
AUR
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
AUR
0 - 0
COB
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
MUN
4 - 1
LEO
61%
20%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
LEO
2 - 0
ANT
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
LEO
2 - 2
ZAC
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
JAL
4 - 0
LEO
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LEO
1 - 3
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |