Aurora FC vs Dep. Chiantla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
IZT
1 - 0
AUR
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SPD
0 - 2
AUR
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 0
BAR
47%
26%
26%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
HUE
1 - 1
AUR
48%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
COM
4 - 2
AUR
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Dep. Chiantla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
COM
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
PUE
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AYU
1 - 0
DEP
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 2
NUE
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
HUE
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |