Primera Apertura Round 12

Aurora FC vs Coatepeque analysis

Aurora FC Coatepeque
52 ELO 47
-5.6% Tilt 3.4%
3753º General ELO ranking 21509º
14º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
57.6%
Aurora FC
22.9%
Draw
19.5%
Coatepeque

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
Aurora FC
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.5%
Win probability
Coatepeque
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aurora FC
+41%
-18%
Coatepeque

ELO progression

Aurora FC
Coatepeque
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aurora FC
Aurora FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Oct. 2009
AME
América Chimaltenango
0 - 4
Aurora FC
AUR
24%
24%
52%
51 39 12 0
27 Sep. 2009
AUR
Aurora FC
3 - 0
Nueva Concepción
NUE
70%
19%
11%
51 38 13 0
20 Sep. 2009
AUR
Aurora FC
1 - 2
Malacateco
TOR
49%
26%
26%
52 52 0 -1
12 Sep. 2009
MIX
Mixco
1 - 2
Aurora FC
AUR
26%
25%
49%
52 39 13 0
06 Sep. 2009
AUR
Aurora FC
0 - 1
Iztapa
IZT
62%
21%
17%
53 46 7 -1

Matches

Coatepeque
Coatepeque
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Oct. 2009
COA
Coatepeque
3 - 0
Antigua GFC
ANT
41%
25%
35%
46 50 4 0
27 Sep. 2009
SPD
CD San Pedro
1 - 0
Coatepeque
COA
51%
24%
25%
47 47 0 -1
20 Sep. 2009
COA
Coatepeque
2 - 0
Juventud Escuintleca
ESC
58%
22%
20%
46 42 4 +1
13 Sep. 2009
AME
América Chimaltenango
0 - 0
Coatepeque
COA
32%
26%
43%
46 37 9 0
06 Sep. 2009
COA
Coatepeque
1 - 0
Nueva Concepción
NUE
69%
19%
13%
47 38 9 -1