Aurora Seriate vs Castiglione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurora Seriate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
AUR
70%
19%
11%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 0
PON
36%
26%
38%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
ACC
0 - 2
AUR
36%
27%
38%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 6
VIR
36%
27%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 1
AUR
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
FCC
3 - 2
ACC
71%
19%
11%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
FCC
39%
27%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 2
LEC
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
FCC
36%
27%
38%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
FCC
3 - 1
ACM
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |