Aulnoye vs Poissy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
52%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aulnoye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
VAL
4 - 0
AUL
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AUL
1 - 6
ESW
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
COM
2 - 3
AUL
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AUL
1 - 6
SED
15%
22%
64%
|
30 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SEN
1 - 0
AUL
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Poissy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
POI
1 - 1
OLY
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
POI
0 - 0
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ESW
3 - 1
POI
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
POI
2 - 0
COM
75%
17%
9%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SED
2 - 1
POI
77%
16%
8%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |