Aulnoye vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aulnoye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AUL
0 - 1
NOI
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
AUL
46%
22%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
AUL
0 - 1
BOU
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
AUL
1 - 1
VAL
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
FEI
4 - 3
AUL
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
IVR
0 - 0
FEI
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NOI
1 - 0
IVR
20%
26%
54%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
IVR
2 - 1
OLY
77%
15%
7%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
IVR
17%
25%
59%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
IVR
1 - 1
BOU
78%
14%
9%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |