Augšdaugava vs Beitar/Riga Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
63.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+145%
+812%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
9º
14º
13º
36
1º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
35 | 55 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 52 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 46 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 43 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 42 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 28 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 28 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 24 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 19 |
14º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 28.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
8% | 61% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
76.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Augšdaugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
RFA
1 - 0
AUG
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
TUK
3 - 1
AUG
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
AUG
0 - 3
OUD
11%
16%
73%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KFV
2 - 0
AUG
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FSL
1 - 1
AUG
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Beitar/Riga Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
FKB
4 - 0
TUK
11%
15%
75%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FKB
2 - 3
OUD
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FKB
1 - 2
KFV
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
PRA
1 - 5
FKB
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FKB
1 - 1
FSL
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |