Regionalliga Bayern Round 3

FC Augsburg II vs Unterhaching analysis

FC Augsburg II Unterhaching
61 ELO 70
22.5% Tilt 11.7%
3300º General ELO ranking 1928º
138º Country ELO ranking 77º
ELO win probability
32.7%
FC Augsburg II
24%
Draw
43.3%
Unterhaching

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
FC Augsburg II
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.3%
Win probability
Unterhaching
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

FC Augsburg II
Their league position
Unterhaching
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
11º
18º
12º
9
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Würzburger Kickers
7
70
33%
Bayern München II
9
69
19%
Unterhaching
9
64
17.5%
Nürnberg II
9
61
14.5%
Greuther Fürth II
12º
3
56
11.5%
Vilzing
13º
3
55
10%
Buchbach
4
54
12.5%
Illertissen
6
53
13%
SV Wacker Burghausen
6
50
11.5%
VfB Eichstätt
6
47
10º
14%
Bayreuth SpVgg
11º
4
47
11º
10.5%
FC Augsburg II
16º
0
40
12º
10.5%
SpVgg Ansbach
17º
0
40
13º
14%
Aubstadt
4
36
14º
20.5%
Memmingen
10º
4
33
15º
15%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
18º
0
27
16º
23%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
15º
1
26
17º
21.5%
Hankofen-Hailing
14º
3
23
18º
40%
Expected probabilities
FC Augsburg II
Unterhaching
Promotion
0% 14.5%
Mid-table
74.5% 85.5%
Relegation play-offs
15% 0%
Relegation
10.5% 0%

ELO progression

FC Augsburg II
Unterhaching
Vilzing
Bayern München II
Nürnberg II
Illertissen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Augsburg II
FC Augsburg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 2025
WAC
SV Wacker Burghausen
3 - 0
FC Augsburg II
AUG
47%
25%
29%
63 65 2 0
25 Jul. 2025
AUG
FC Augsburg II
1 - 2
Bayern München II
BAY
31%
24%
44%
63 72 9 0
20 Jul. 2025
FRE
Freiberg
3 - 0
FC Augsburg II
AUG
52%
22%
26%
63 70 7 0
16 May. 2025
SCH
Schweinfurt
2 - 0
FC Augsburg II
AUG
54%
23%
23%
64 69 5 -1
09 May. 2025
AUG
FC Augsburg II
0 - 1
Eintracht Bamberg
EIN
82%
12%
6%
64 47 17 0

Matches

Unterhaching
Unterhaching
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2025
UNT
Unterhaching
3 - 0
SpVgg Ansbach
ANS
55%
23%
22%
69 60 9 0
26 Jul. 2025
VIL
Vilzing
1 - 3
Unterhaching
UNT
47%
24%
29%
68 68 0 +1
19 Jul. 2025
FCL
Liefering
2 - 3
Unterhaching
UNT
65%
19%
17%
67 76 9 +1
12 Jul. 2025
LAN
Landsberg
1 - 3
Unterhaching
UNT
23%
21%
56%
67 55 12 0
11 Jul. 2025
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
1 - 2
Unterhaching
UNT
52%
24%
25%
67 75 8 0