Auerbach vs VfB Krieschow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
52.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
4º
12º
5º
46
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LFC
0 - 2
AUE
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
AUE
1 - 3
PLA
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
EWD
1 - 2
AUE
50%
21%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AUE
1 - 2
SVG
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SVB
2 - 4
AUE
23%
22%
55%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Krieschow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 0
VFL
82%
12%
7%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 8
VFB
17%
18%
65%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 4
MAG
14%
19%
67%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
EIN
0 - 1
VFB
22%
21%
58%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VFB
0 - 1
VIK
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |